Memorial Tournament Odds, Predictions, Picks & H2H Best Bets

June 4, 2023; Dublin, Ohio, USA; Viktor Hovland waits to putt on eight during the final round of the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club.Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele headline an elite field at the 2024 Memorial TournamentReigning champion Viktor Hovland is also among the top-five favoritesBelow, see the 2024 Memorial Tournament odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s PGA event at Muirfield Village in Ohio

A major-caliber field heads to Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, this week for the 2024 Memorial Tournament, which has a total purse of $20 million.

All of the top-six players in the Official World Golf Rankings are in this week’s field – including defending champion and world #5 Viktor Hovland – but it’s world #1 Scottie Scheffler who continues to sit a cut above the rest in the 2024 Memorial Tournament odds.

2024 Memorial Tournament Odds

Scheffler is listed at just +360 to win, which has an implied win probability of 21.74%. McIlroy is the second-favorite at +800 with Schauffele third at +900 and Morikawa fourth at +1400. A pair of Scandinavians are tied for fifth-favorite: Norwegian Viktor Hovland and Swede Ludvig Aberg are both at +1800.

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Scheffler Records Tenth Straight Top-Ten Finish

The run Scottie Scheffler is on at the moment is the best on the  PGA Tour since prime Tiger Woods. The world #1 is coming off a T2 at the Charles Schwab Challenge two weeks ago, his tenth straight top-ten finish. His current run includes four victories and another three top-three finishes. While Xander Schauffele is doing his best to close the distance, the gap between Scheffler and everyone else in terms of Strokes Gained (SG) is massive. Scheffler is currently at 2.842 while Schauffele is second at 2.265, a difference of 0.577.

At the end of last season, Scheffler was first in SG at 2.314 while McIlroy was second at 2.102 (a difference of just .212).

And the gap between second-ranked Schauffele and third-ranked McIlroy is almost as big (0.542), meaning the gap between Scheffler and everyone not named Xander Schauffele is over one full stroke, which is an insane distance at this stage of the season.

Scheffler also has a strong history at the Memorial. He finished third at Muirfield in each of his last two starts (2023 and 2021) and was T22 in his only other start back in 2020.

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Schauffele Also Enters 2024 Memorial Red-Hot

The #2 ranked player in the world, Xander Schauffele won his last start at the PGA Championship two weeks ago, which was also his fifth top-ten finish in his last six starts.

Schauffele’s history at Muirfield is solid but not spectacular. Since missing the cut in his first appearance in 2018, he has recorded five straight top-25 finishes in the last five years, but zero top tens. His best finish at the Memorial was a T11 back in 2021. He was T24 here last year.

Defending-Champion Hovland Trending Down in 2024

While Viktor Hovland is getting a lot of love from oddsmakers as the defending champ and the #5 player in the world, his 2024 campaign has paled in comparison to what he accomplished last year. The 26-year-old Norwegian didn’t finish better than T19 in any of his first seven starts (including one missed cut) before claiming third at the PGA Championship two weeks ago.

He currently sits just 46th on tour in overall Strokes Gained (0.534) after finishing last season in eighth (1.648).

Hovland didn’t finish better than T47 in any of his other three appearances at Muirfield.

Once the H2H props come out, I will be looking to fade Hovland depending whom he’s up against. For now, I have top finishing-position picks for Scheffler and Schauffele, the clear top-two in the world at the moment.

2024 Memorial Tournament Picks

Scheffler top-five finish (-125)Schauffele top-five finish (+200)

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