Braves vs Giants Predictions, Player-Prop Picks & Starting Pitchers (Aug 13)
by Adam Spencer in MLB Baseball
Updated Aug 13, 2024 · 2:59 PM PDT
Aug 11, 2024; San Francisco, California, USA; San Francisco Giants third baseman Matt Chapman (26) steps up to the plate during the first inning against the Detroit Tigers at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY SportsThe San Francisco Giants (61-60) host the Atlanta Braves (62-56) in a Tuesday night showdown in the Bay Area. Game 1 of the series went to the Braves in dramatic 1-0 fashion in 10 innings.Kyle Harrison (6-5, 4.08 ERA) gets the ball for San Francisco, while the Braves will counter with Charlie Morton (6-7, 4.47 ERA).Check out the section below for our top picks from Tuesday night’s NL showdown.
Wow. What a game Blake Snell and Chris Sale provided for baseball fans last night! Both pitchers were electric, striking out 10+ batters while not allowing a run. Atlanta eventually got the win 1-0 in 10 innings in that thriller. With a couple of pitchers sporting 4+ ERAs in tonight’s game, we likely won’t see the same pitching prowess. But you never know with baseball! Game 2 of this series between playoff contenders is set to begin at 9:45 p.m. ET on Tuesday night and can be seen on the MLB Network and MLB.tv.
Braves vs Giants Picks
Over 8.5 runs (+105)Matt Chapman over 1.5 total bases (+120)
It’s looking like it’s going to be a calm night in the Bay Area, so I don’t understand this line. If it was super windy or rainy, sure, maybe you take the under here. But with Harrison and Morton both sporting lackluster ERAs, I like this to be a bounce-back night for both offenses. I don’t have a good feel for which team will win, so I’ll just take the over, which is a surprising +105 on bet365 right now, and call it a day.
Also, despite not knowing which team will win, Matt Chapman of the Giants has hit Morton well. He’s 6-for-20 lifetime against the Braves’ starter (.300) with a double, a triple, a home run, 4 RBI and 3 walks against him. Not too bad!
Take the +120 odds at bet365 on Chapman to hit the over on 1.5 total bases tonight. There’s good value there with the plus odds.
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Braves vs Giants Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | -1.5 (+150) | -110 | O 8.5 (+105) |
| San Francisco Giants | +1.5 (-180) | -110 | U 8.5 (-125) |
Odds via bet365 as of Tuesday, August 13. Use bet365 promo code SBDXLM when you sign up for an account now and you will unlock a choice between two great welcome bonuses — a first-bet safety net of up to $1,000 or $150 in bonus bets when you place your first $5+ wager.
The moneyline is dead even for tonight’s game, which tracks with my comments earlier about not having a good feel for who will win tonight. Both sides are -110 on bet364. The Braves to win by 2+ runs is at +150, with the Giants +1.5 runs line at -180. As I mentioned above, I’m stunned that the over on 8.5 runs is at +105. Seems like a mistake to me. If you do think the under will hit, though, you can find -125 odds.
2024 World Series Odds TrackerRead More
Braves vs Giants Starting Pitchers
| Charlie Morton | VS | Kyle Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | Record | 6-5 |
| 4.47 | ERA | 4.08 |
| 23.1% | SO% | 21.7% |
Morton’s strikeout rate is at the lowest it has been since 2016, which goes a long way toward explaining some of his struggles this year. But his bigger problem is home runs. He’s given up more long balls this year in 114.2 innings (18) than he did in 163.1 innings (14) in 2023.
Harrison only had limited work in 2023, but so far in 2024, he’s giving up home runs at a rate of 1.2 per 9 innings, which isn’t great. He’s also allowing hard hits at a 44.2% clip this year, which is higher than last year’s number.
Basically, we can expect some loud contact tonight in San Francisco. If those balls stay in the park, I’ll be wrong and the under will hit. But I expect a few souvenirs to make their way into the bleachers in this game.
Tune in to MLB Network at 9:45 p.m. ET tonight to see who takes Game 2 of this very important National League series.
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